It’s a sad truth that spring shows tend to dominate the conversation around Tony nomination time (though, to be fair, the three recent winners Hamilton, Dear Evan Hansen, The Band’s Visit all opened in the fall). Below, the BroadwayBox team goes category-by-category filling in what that one fall slot would have to be (IMHO).

Best Musical:  The Prom

Best Play:  The Ferryman

Best Revival of a Musical: HA! This is a spring category only with Kiss Me, Kate and Oklahoma! dueling it out.

Best Revival of a Play:  The Boys in the Band

Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Brooks Ashmanskas, The Prom*

Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Beth Leavel, The Prom*

Best Leading Actor in a Play: Bryan Cranston, Network

Best Leading Actress in a Play: Laura Donnelly, The Ferryman

Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Jarrod Spector, The Cher Show

Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Bonnie Milligan, Head Over Heels

Best Featured Actor in a Play: Robin de Jesus, Boys in the Band

Best Featured Actress in a Play: Mercedes Ruehl, Torch Song

Best Score: Matthew Sklar & Chad Beguelin, The Prom

Best Book: Bob Martin & Chad Beguelin, The Prom

Best Director of a Musical:  Casey Nicholaw, The Prom

Best Director of a Play:  Ivo van Hove, Network

Best Choreography:  Christopher Gattelli, The Cher Show

Best Orchestrations: Tom Kitt, Head Over Heels

* for categories we think they would be submitted for. Also, Choir Boy doesn’t open until 2019 so was not in consideration.