It’s a sad truth that spring shows tend to dominate Tony nominations, leaving just a few slots for great work that opened in the fall season (though recent winners Hamilton & Dear Evan Hansen both opened in the fall). Below, the BroadwayBox team goes category-by-category filling in what that one fall slot would have to be (IMHO).

Best Musical:  SpongeBob SquarePants

Best Play:  Meteor Shower

Best Revival of a Musical:  Once On This Island

Best Revival of a Play:  Time and The Conways

Best Leading Actor in a Musical:  Ethan Slater, SpongeBob SquarePants

Best Leading Actress in a Musical:  Katrina Lenk, The Band’s Visit*

Best Leading Actor in a Play:  Steven Pasquale, Junk

Best Leading Actress in a Play:  Amy Schumer, Meteor Shower

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:  Ari’el Stachel , The Band’s Visit

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:  Hayley Kilgore, Once On This Island*

Best Featured Actor in a Play:  Rick Holmes, Junk

Best Featured Actress in a Play:  Blair Brown, The Parisian Woman

Best Score: David Yazbek, The Band’s Visit

Best Book: Itamar Moses, The Band’s Visit

Best Director of a Musical:  Tina Landau, SpongeBob SquarePants

Best Director of a Play:  Rebecca Taichman, Time and the Conways

Best Choreography:  Chris Gattelli, SpongeBob SquarePants

Best Orchestrations: AnnMarie Milazzo and Michael Starobin, Once On This Island

* for categories we think they would be submitted for.